Jaguars vs. Commanders prediction, odds, line, spread: 2022 NFL picks, Week 1 best bets from proven model

The Washington Commanders play host to the Jacksonville Jaguars in a key Week 1 NFL matchup at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday at FedEx Field. Washington is entering the third year of the Ron Rivera era, and will once again be breaking in a new starting quarterback in veteran Carson Wentz. The Jaguars will be guided by first year head coach Doug Pederson, who will be looking to work some of his magic on former No. 1 overall pick Trevor Lawrence. The Commanders lead the all-time series 6-1.

Washington is favored by 3 points in the latest Commanders vs. Jaguars odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over/under is set at 44. Before making any Jaguars vs. Commanders picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from the proven model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,500 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 138-97 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. Amazingly, it hasn’t missed a top-rated pick since Week 15 last season. 

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Commanders vs. Jaguars and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 1 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Jags vs. Commanders:

  • Commanders vs. Jaguars spread: Commanders -3
  • Commanders vs. Jaguars over/under: 44 points
  • Commanders vs. Jaguars picks: See picks here

Featured Game | Washington Commanders vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Why the Jaguars can cover

Second-year quarterback Trevor Lawrence should benefit from playing under new head coach Doug Pederson. The former Eagles head coach got the best out Carson Wentz and helped Alex Smith play the best football of his career for the Chiefs before that. 

Travis Etienne, a first-round pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, is also set to make his professional debut after missing all of 2021 with a foot injury. The former Clemson star will add explosiveness at the running back position that the Jaguars have been missing for multiple year.

Why the Commanders can cover

Washington rolled the dice on Wentz, and will only go as far as the former No. 2 overall pick can take them. Wentz has proven that he can be a Pro Bowl caliber quarterback, but has struggled mightily in recent years. Wentz does have the added benefit of throwing to one of the NFL’s best wide receivers in Terry McLaurin.

Defensively, Washington will undoubtedly miss Chase Young (ACL), who is eligible to return from injured reserve in Week 4. The Commanders still have a stout defensive front with stalwarts Jonathan Allen, Daron Payne, and Montez Sweat.

How to make Commanders vs. Jaguars picks

The model has simulated Commanders vs. Jaguars 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under on the total, and it also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model’s pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Jaguars vs. Commanders on Sunday? And which side of the spread holds all the value? Visit SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Commanders vs. Jaguars spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a 138-97 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.


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